There Are Far Too Many Elephants In Southern Africa

Don’t get me wrong. I love elephants. Next, to the black rhino, they are my favourite animal but, as they say in the classics: “Enough is enough”.

The elephant is one of the most important animals in Africa at this time because the species has focussed world attention on Africa.

The continent’s whole wildlife future rests on:

(1) What we are going to do with our (own) elephants; or

(2). What the rest of the world is going to allow us to do with our (own) elephants; or

(3) how far we are going to allow the rest of the world to push us around – with regards to how they believe we should manage our (own) elephants. And the truth of the matter is that it seems neither they nor our own authorities, have any idea just what our management options are.

There is truly nothing mysterious about wildlife management; or about elephant management. The concept is actually very simple.

Management is the action that man takes to achieve a man-desired objective. There is nothing natural about wildlife management. It is man conceived; man designed; man implemented; man manipulated; and man is the principle beneficiary.

The next thing we have to understand is that – in terms of our options – mankind has three obligatory conservation priorities to consider.

Our FIRST priority is to protect the SOIL and to use it sustainably and wisely – because without soil there would be no plants.

Our SECOND priority is to protect and to use PLANTS sustainably and wisely – for without plants there would be no animals.

Our THIRD and last priority is to protect and to sustainably, and wisely, utilise our ANIMALS.

Animals come LAST on the list of our conservation priorities NOT because they are UNIMPORTANT but because they are LESS IMPORTANT than the soil and the plants.

Plants do a number of things in the environment. They produce food for herbivorous animals to eat; they provide cover for all animals – protecting them from the elements and hiding them from their enemies; they provide cover for the soil – protecting it from the erosive forces of the sun, wind and (especially) the rain; and finally – coupled with the physical character of their local environment – plants create the different habitat types to which all nature’s multifarious animal species are variously and specifically adapted.

Wild animals live quite happily – and sustainably – in the different habitats to which they are especially adapted, provided they don’t over-utilise the habitat’s core resources.

Sustainability means they do not permanently change the quality or the quantity of the vegetation in which they live.

In a nutshell, this means they can use (feed upon; break down; or cause the death of) any component part of the vegetation, provided the rate of their usage in any one year, does not exceed the degree to which nature can grow back the used parts of the plant community during the next year’s growing season. So, the basic nature of the habitats should not change from one year to the next. They should remain in a dynamically stable state!


There is only one species of savannah elephant (Loxodonta africana) and it lives in 37 countries (elephant range states) from one end of sub-Saharan Africa to the other. Within these countries, it occurs in 150 different populations.

A POPULATION: is a group of animals of the same species the individuals of which interact with each other on a daily basis and they breed ONLY with other animals in the same group.

Elephants live quite happily in a range of habitats from montane forests to lowland grasslands, savannahs, marshes and deserts. So they live in often vastly different habitat types each of which subjects the elephant populations that live within them, to widely different environmental conditions.

Management plans for each elephant population, therefore, have to be drawn up separately. This fact dictates that the much vaunted endangered species concept is a fallacy. There is simply no one-size-fits-all (endangered species) management plan that can be applied universally to any animal species.

The ecological status of individual elephant populations can vary greatly. They can be UNSAFE, SAFE or EXCESSIVE; and these categories are related in large measure to the sustainable carrying capacities of their habitats.

The CARRYING CAPACITY of a habitat is the MAXIMUM number of elephants that can be permanently sustained without causing irreparable damage to the vegetation

Populations are UNSAFE when they exist in numbers well below the carrying capacity of their habitat; because they are not breeding well (so they are declining in number); and because the causes of the decline cannot be reversed. Such populations face eventual extinction.

Other populations are SAFE. They occur in good numbers – but not exceeding the carrying capacity of their habitat. They are fat and breeding well – because good food is abundant; and their numbers are expanding. SAFE populations should be culled annually – to keep their numbers uniformly stable (at a level below the carrying capacity of their habitat); and they can be utilised quite heavily by hunting or harvesting.

The third kind of population is the EXCESSIVE one – which, in number, greatly exceeds the carrying capacity of its habitat; is still expanding; persistently over-utilises its habitat; causes massive habitat change; eliminates sensitive habitats; eventually extirpates all favoured food resources; and causes massive species diversity losses.

By eliminating large trees and other shrubbery excessive elephant populations expose massive areas of bare ground to the most powerful soil erosion force in nature – tropical thunderstorms. And here the simple rain drop is the culprit. In Kruger National Park more than 95 percent of all top canopy trees in the park have been eliminated since 1960! This fact has huge negative ramifications on the health and stability of the park’s entire ecosystem and is particularly destructive of its biological diversity. All other game reserves with excessive elephant populations are similarly affected.

Excessive elephant populations should be drastically reduced in number – in the first instance by no less than 50 percent.

Major game reserves in Zimbabwe Image credit:

Practically every elephant population south of the Zambezi and Cunene Rivers in southern Africa is excessive! This will give you some idea of themagnitude of the elephant management dilemma that southern Africa now faces.

Approximate population figures for just three of our national parks:

  • Hwange NP (Zimbabwe) – 5 000 sq. miles – 50 000 elephants;
  • Gonarezhou NP (Zimbabwe) – 2 000 sq. miles – 14 000 elephants;
  • Kruger NP (South Africa) – 8 000 sq. miles – 20 000 elephants.
  • Botswana’s elephant sanctuary tallies (2013) (area not known) – 207 000.

Hwange is now carrying 20 times as many elephants per square mile as the figure recommended by the Rhodesian (now Zimbabwean) National Parks Board in 1960 (which was one elephant per two square miles).

Now consider the fact that the approximate sustainable elephant carrying capacities for all these game reserves is probably close to one elephant per two square miles. Work out the figures for yourselves; look at the numbers; and start to feel the uncomfortable quandary in which these facts now place us all. And remember, these national parks were created NOT for the uncontrolled proliferation of elephants – but with the priority objective of maintaining their overall biological diversities.

Kruger National Park Image credit:

Now you will begin to understand why the Great Elephant Census (GEC) (2016) frustrated me so much. The elephant counts were made, no doubt to the best of the participants’ capabilities; but the population numbers were distributed without the comparative elephant carrying capacity calculations for each of the game reserves in question. The count figures were truly, therefore, just a bunch of numbers. Without being able to determine whether the elephant populations were UNSAFE, SAFE or EXCESSIVE, the whole exercise was a great but worthless effort.

To drive this home: Everyone in Botswana was elated when the Botswana elephant count in 2013 reached over 200 000; but when it is considered that this population is GROSSLY EXCESSIVE and that the management recommendation must be to reduce this population by half in the first management action – that is, by 100 000 elephants (and probably more later) – this puts an entirely different slant on the Botswana elephant numbers story. And it leaves no room for rejoicing!

What is abundantly clear is that the wildlife sanctuaries of southern Africa – if they are to survive into posterity – can sustainably maintain only a tiny fraction of the total numbers of elephants that the rest of the world expects us to carry.

Ron Thomson

RON THOMSON His passion, today, is concerned with creating a better informed society – better informed, that is, about “best practice” wildlife management and the wise and sustainable utilization of our wild living resources for the benefit of mankind. He has a strong and passionate commitment to exposing the menace and iniquities of the animal rights doctrine. He is a founding member of the True Green Alliance (TGA) and, for the duration of 2016, he was its President. In January 2017 he was appointed CEO. The TGA is affiliated to South Africa’s wildlife Industry insofar as it has undertaken to fight the industry’s battles to overcome pernicious opposition from the South African and international animal rights movement.

Ron Thomson has 153 posts and counting. See all posts by Ron Thomson

6 thoughts on “There Are Far Too Many Elephants In Southern Africa

  • November 23, 2017 at 10:00 pm

    An ecologically sound analysis that sadly will be ignored by the international conservation organisations. These largely depend on donations and know the value to their coffers of emotive images of “butchered” elephants in yielding income. They therefore avoid being associated with concepts such as culling even if this is necessary for true conservation of these habitats.
    With the human population of Africa predicted to treble this century, pressure on land use will inevitably intensify. Unless “protected areas” have a value to local people in food production or other economic terms, they will surely lose out when they come in conflict with growing human needs. This is the REAL threat to elephants and every other species that shares their habitat.
    As unpalatable as it might seem to western “wildlife lovers'” sensibilities, the long term survival of these areas as wildlife reserves will depend on managing them on sound ecological principles, including developing humane systems to cull and utilise excess animals for bush meat that local populaces benefit from. The international wildlife organisations need to stop their disingenuous emotive stance and instead educate their audiences on the realities of African wildlife’s plight.
    (By the way, I write as a western wildlife lover with no vested interests, but also an ecologist and conservationist).

    • September 9, 2019 at 2:41 pm

      THANK YOU LUKE FOR YOUR UNDERSTANDING RESPONSE. You should join the TGA and keep up with our crusade. Kind regards

      Ron Thomson

  • November 24, 2017 at 1:41 pm

    No there are TOO MANY HUMANS over population is our biggest problem we have taken land from our wild life. Wild life in Africa is our major income. Stop female grants for unmarried young girls. This I’ll control the birth rate.

    • December 11, 2017 at 3:56 pm

      Hello Aletta,

      You’re right about too many humans being our biggest problem. And there will be six times as many humans in sub-Saharan Africa as there are today, by the turn of the century. So it aint gonna get any better. And I agree with your ideas about persuading young girls to have fewer babies by removing their child grants. All makes good sense. But you are wrong when you declare that my statement: “There are too many elephants in southern Africa” is not valid. No matter what else is happening all around them, our national parks can only carry as many elephants as the habitats can sustainably support – and if we exceed that number the habitats will get trashed; our game reserves with lose biological diversity; and the sanctuaries will all be turned into deserts. So it does not help to look outside the problem we are trying to solve, and blame some other problem (valid or not) that does not affect our elephants. We have to manage our elephants in such a way that their numbers NEVER exceed the carrying capacity of their habitats. I can do nothing about the h

  • October 26, 2018 at 11:56 am

    Hi Ron, I visited KNP for three weeks as I also did last year. I am just a tourist from the Netherlands. But even I am very concerned about the future of KNP. At the moment there is hardly any grass, hardly leaves and what the elephants do at the moment is eating branches and trees or the roots of the trees or debark trees, old trees which will never come back. There is no food for the hippos that come out at night, there are hardly any leaves for the giraffes……………There are too many elephants, defenitely and they cause hunger for all the other animals that live in KNP by destroying the whole habitat. I don’t no, but has contraception ever been tried? I know that that is just a long term solution. If we still want to go to KNP in 10 years time from now I think there is a need for drastic solutions………………….with tears in my eyes….

    • October 28, 2018 at 4:46 pm

      Thank you for your comment.
      If you have been following the True Green Alliance Facebook and Website you will see that we have been warning society about the fact there are too many elephants in the whole of southern Africa – not just KNP – and why we believe this. What your have recorded is what we have been telling society for years.

      KNP should have only 3500 elephants. It is now housing over 30 000. Contraception is NOT the answer. It has been tried and failed the test. Cows that have receive contraceptives have gone into perpetual heat and they are pestered – until they are exhausted – by over attentive bulls. Some facts for you: more than 95 percent of KNP’s woodland big trees have been killed. 100 percent of the one-time understory in these woodlands has gone. There is only ONE solution. Population reduction. The elephants have to be reduced in number from 30 000 to 3 500. And the best way to do this is to shoot them en masse, and to utilise their body products. Tough Love and Hard Talk is what is required. And we don’t want people getting all emotional and soft on us. POPULATION REDUCTION is the ONLY solution.

      Hippos, incidentally, as nocturnal animals. They spend the whole night grazing – IF they can find any grass to eat. Elephants also eat grass.

      May I suggest that you join The True Green Alliance (TGA). We need your support. And I think you will enjoy the communication with us.

      Kind regards

      Ron Thomson CEO-TGA


Leave a Reply to Ron Thomson Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.